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Latest 538 Headlines

March 27

States are cracking down on deepfakes ahead of the 2024 election

But they might be missing the most concerning threats.
March 27
March 26

8 people who could be Trump's VP pick

Tim Scott and Kristi Noem headline 538's latest vice presidential draft.
March 26
Welcome to 538's latest politics chat.
March 26

Is an election vibe shift underway? | 538 Politics Podcast

Biden's approval rating is up, and Trump's favorability rating is down.
March 26
VIDEO: Is an election vibe shift underway?
March 25

House members seem to really hate their jobs

More and more are cutting their congressional careers off early.
March 25
Rep. Mike Gallagher is seen outside a House Republican Conference speaker election meeting in Longworth Building on Oct. 24, 2023.
March 25

Who said it: Biden, Trump or someone from 'The Bachelor'?

We quizzed the 538 staff with 12 quotes about finding love — or votes.
March 25
We quizzed the 538 staff with 12 quotes about finding love — or votes.
March 21

538 Debate Club: Should TikTok be banned?

The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 21
The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 21

538 Debate Club: Should TikTok be banned? | 538 Politics Podcast

The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 21
The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 21

Will RFK Jr. and third-party contenders even make the ballot in November?

A variety of state-by-state rules stand in their way.
March 21
Independent and third-party presidential candidates need to meet state-by-state requirements to appear on the ballot.
March 20

How IVF and abortion access could shape the 2024 election

Plus, polls on Biden and Trump job approval and college athlete unionization.
March 20
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
March 18

How worried should Democrats be about the polls?

Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 18
Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 18

How worried should Democrats be about the polls? | 538 Politics Podcast

Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 18
Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 18

8 primaries to watch in Ohio, Illinois and California

The GOP primary for Ohio Senate will have big implications for November.
March 18
Bernie Moreno is acknowledged at a rally with former President Donald Trump in Delaware, OH, Apr. 23, 2022.
March 18

Have your student loans been forgiven? We want to hear from you.

We're interviewing people impacted by Biden's student loan forgiveness programs.
March 18
People putting money into a graduation cap in this illustration.
March 15

No one is coming to save us from a 2020 rematch

Third-party candidates are often overrated at this point in the election cycle.
March 15
Plenty of people are dissatisfied with both Joe Biden and Donald Trump, but a third-party candidate probably isn't coming to the rescue.
March 14

Do campaign stops actually matter?

Politicians rarely boost turnout in the places where they choose to campaign.
March 14
Politicians rarely boost turnout in the places where they choose to campaign.
March 14

Do campaign stops actually matter? | 538 Politics Podcast

Politicians rarely boost turnout in the places where they choose to campaign.
March 14
Politicians rarely boost turnout in the places where they choose to campaign.
March 14

Many Haley voters won't back Trump. They weren't going to anyway.

But most Republicans and GOP leaners will stick with the party.
March 14
Will Nikki Haley's supporters back Donald Trump or Joe Biden in the 2024 general election?
March 13

Trump is leading the polls, but there's plenty of time for Biden to catch up

Early polls are weak predictors, and they're especially noisy this year.
March 13
There is still time for President Joe Biden to improve in the polls.
March 11

Does Gen Z really care more about that viral TikTok than politics?

What is (and isn't) motivating young voters today.
March 11
What is (and isn't) motivating young voters today.
March 11

Does Gen Z really care more about that viral TikTok than politics?

What is (and isn't) motivating young voters today.
March 11
What is (and isn't) motivating young voters today.
March 11

How Sinema's retirement changes the Arizona Senate race

Her replacement is unlikely to be a moderate.
March 11
Sen. Mitt Romney talks with Sen. Kyrsten Sinema outside the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., Aug. 4, 2022.
March 08

LGBTQ+ voters look a lot like swing voters

A new poll reveals how LGTBQ+ Americans are feeling ahead of the election.
March 08
There's a new poll out of LGBTQ+ voters.
March 08

A very political State of the Union

Biden highlighted the top 2024 campaign issues in his address to the nation.
March 08
Biden highlighted the top 2024 campaign issues in his address to the nation.
March 08

A very political State of the Union | 538 Politics Podcast

Biden highlighted the top 2024 campaign issues in his address to the nation.
March 08
Biden highlighted the top 2024 campaign issues in his address to the nation.
March 07

Haley's campaign exposed cracks in Trump's GOP

Her run also underscored a narrow path for women in the Republican Party.
March 07
Republican presidential candidate and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley walks off stage after announcing the suspension of her presidential campaign at her campaign headquarters on March 6, 2024 in Daniel Island, South Carolina.
March 06

Super Tuesday brings a couple surprises | 538 Politics Podcast

Trump dominates but Haley pulls off win in Vermont.
March 06
Trump dominates but Haley pulls off win in Vermont.
March 04

What to watch for on Super Tuesday | 538 Politics Podcast

Plus, how Trump is tightening his grip on the GOP.
March 04
Plus, how Trump is tightening his grip on the GOP.
February 28

What to make of the protest votes in Michigan | 538 Politics Podcast

Biden and Trump's easy victories masked discontent in both parties.
February 28
Biden and Trump's easy victories masked discontent in both parties.
February 25

After South Carolina loss, what is Nikki Haley's plan? | 538 Politics Podcast

Without a clear path to the nomination, Haley may be hoping to make a point about the future of the GOP.
February 25
Without a clear path to the nomination, Haley may be hoping to make a point about the future of the GOP.
February 22

Overseas conflicts are sparking strife in US party politics | 538 Politics Podcast

How the wars in Ukraine and Gaza are causing intraparty conflicts and what it means for the 2024 election.
February 22
How the wars in Ukraine and Gaza are causing intraparty conflicts and what it means for the 2024 election.
February 19

What comes next in Trump's trials | 538 Politics Podcast

Trump's legal jeopardy includes his first criminal case, set to start March 25.
February 19
Trump's legal jeopardy includes his first criminal case, set to start March 25.

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