The U.S. employs two distinct measures of crime. The Federal Bureau of Investigation’s Uniform Crime Reporting program counts the number of crimes reported to police annually. The Bureau of Justice Statistics, in its National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), asks...
Crime Prevention
Research Center
Dedicated to conducting academic quality research on the relationship between laws regulating the ownership or use of guns, crime, and public safety
Latest Research
The Collapse in Law Enforcement: As Arrest Rates Plummet, People Have Been Less Willing to Report Crime
The American news media has been working overtime to convince people that violent crime is dramatically falling. Here are typical headlines from ABC News and NPR. "US stats show violent crime dramatically falling, so why is there a rising clash with perception? 'I...
The Latest Research
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Latest Columns
At Townhall: The FBI’s Crime Data Have Real Problems
Dr. John Lott has a new piece up at Townhall that continues our investigation into the problems with the FBI crime data. The news media relies almost exclusively on FBI data to report on changes in crime rates. But there is strong evidence that FBI data...
Letter Submitted to USA Today: Responding to “FBI data shows America is seeing a ‘considerable’ drop in crime. Trump says the opposite.”
When USA Today had two articles claiming that Trump was wrong in claiming that crime was increasing, Dr. John Lott submitted the following letter to the editor, but the newspaper didn't run the letter. Dear Letters Editor: USA Today erroneously dismisses former...
At The Tennessean: My husband was killed in a ‘gun free zone.’ Arm teachers for safety and to save lives.
The CPRC's Nikki Goeser has a new op-ed in the Tennessean. . My husband Ben and I used to run a mobile karaoke business in Nashville. . Every Thursday evening, we would load up our vehicle and head to a popular restaurant to help facilitate a night of good music and...
At the Wall Street Journal: The Media Say Crime Is Going Down. Don’t Believe It: The decline in reported crimes is a function of less reporting, not less crime.
Dr. John Lott has a new op-ed at the Wall Street Journal. News outlets claim that Americans mistakenly believe violent crime is rising. A Gallup survey last year found that 92% of Republicans and 58% of Democrats thought crime was increasing. A February...
At Townhall: City where police emergency response time is 36 minutes wants to ban Civilians Carrying Guns for protection
Dr. John Lott has a new piece at Townhall In 2023, New Orleans had the third highest per capita murder rate in the country according to the FBI. Last week, New Orleans Police Chief Anne Kirkpatrick claimed that the city can lower...
At the Missoulian: Duty to uphold the laws of the land rests on Tester’s shoulders
Dr. John Lott has a new piece at the Missoulian. . Will Sen. Jon Tester provide the necessary vote this week to hold an impeachment trial for Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas? Democrats might think that they can protect vulnerable Democrats such as...
At the Colorado Springs Gazette: Registries could be used to enforce gun bans
John Lott and Colorado state Representative Ryan Armagost have a piece in Colorado's second largest newspaper the Colorado Springs Gazette. . Credit card companies soon might be tracking purchases of firearms and ammunition in Colorado. A bill that would flag...
At Townhall: How Can People Keep Claiming That Penalties Don’t Deter Criminals?
Dr. John Lott has a new piece at Townhall. . Last week, New York’s progressive Assembly speaker, Carl Heastie, claimed he doesn't believe increasing penalties deters crime. He said: . "I was simply asked a question of, ‘Do I believe that increasing penalties deters...
Videos
Talks
Conference talk on the Collapse of Law Enforcement in the US
https://youtu.be/b24Qep3c2nE Dr. John Lott gave a talk at VDARE's Spring 2024 Conference on immigration and the collapse of law enforcement in the US. Dr. Lott disagreed with the concerns regarding legal immigration and also pointed out that many gun control laws...
Crime Prevention Research Center fellow Amanda Collins Johnson talked about being raped in college and her advocacy for “campus carry” gun laws
Crime Prevention Research Center fellow Amanda Collins Johnson talked about being raped in college and her advocacy for “campus carry” gun laws. This event was hosted on February 29th, 2024 by the Clare Boothe Luce Center for Conservative Women in Virginia. C-SPAN...
Audio of Lecture on Statistics at Lake Forest College
Dr. John Lott taught two classes on statistics at Lake Forest College on January 23rd. While the lectures weren’t recorded, the PowerPoint of Lott’s lecture is available here. Here is an audio of the lecture for the first class that Lott gave. (Tuesday, January 23,...
Media Appearances
On the Lars Larson Show: To Discuss the Collapse in Law Enforcement
Dr. John Lott talked to Lars Larson on his national radio shows about his new op-ed at the Wall Street Journal titled "The Media Say Crime Is Going Down. Don’t Believe It: The decline in reported crimes is a function of less reporting, not less crime." (Thursday,...
On Washington Times’ Bold & Blunt Podcast: Crime on the decline? Au contraire!
Dr. John Lott talked to Cheryl Chumley on the Washington Times' Bold & Blunt Podcast about his new op-ed at the Wall Street Journal titled "The Media Say Crime Is Going Down. Don’t Believe It: The decline in reported crimes is a function of less reporting,...
On RealClearPolitics: To Discuss Less Reporting, Not Less Crime
Dr. John Lott appeared on RealClearPolitics on SiriusXM's POTUS Channel 124 to discuss reports that crime rates are declining. See also Dr. Lott's new op-ed at the Wall Street Journal titled "The Media Say Crime Is Going Down. Don’t Believe It." Carl Cannon,...
All Our Posts
On Sunday Night with Bill Cunningham: To Discuss Less Reporting, Not Less Crime
Dr. John Lott appeared on the national Sunday Night with Bill Cunningham to discuss the real reason crime is down across the nation. See also Dr. Lott's new op-ed at the Wall Street Journal titled "The Media Say Crime Is Going Down. Don’t Believe It: The decline in...
Media Bias on TV Police Shows: Lots of Drug Dealers Using Machine Guns to Fight Law Enforcement
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-l_TMTqdz4U In real life, criminals generally use machine guns so rarely that a 2016 survey of prison inmates only broke down the numbers for uses in crime of handguns (11.2%), rifles (0.8%), and shotguns (1.1%). There are few rifles,...
An Ex-Marine, who planned a racist mass shooting to kill white people, targeted a gun-free zone
Strangely, it was very difficult to find a picture of Joshua Cobb, the ex-Marine who made this threat, in any news story outside of the local media market. "As of today I have officially began planning my attack. It is going to take place in 2023 in the state of New...