Elsevier

Business Horizons

Volume 57, Issue 3, May–June 2014, Pages 311-317
Business Horizons

Organizational Performance
What a difference a word makes: Understanding threats to performance in a VUCA world

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Abstract

VUCA is an acronym that has recently found its way into the business lexicon. The components it refers to—volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity—are words that have been variously used to describe an environment which defies confident diagnosis and befuddles executives. In a ‘VUCA world,’ both pundits and executives have said, core activities essential to driving organizational performance—like strategic planning—are viewed as mere exercises in futility. VUCA conditions render useless any efforts to understand the future and to plan responses. When leaders are left with little to do other than wring their hands, organizational performance quickly falls at risk. In this installment of Organizational Performance, we demonstrate that by overlooking important differences in the conditions that volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity describe, we have disempowered leaders. We show how leaders can appreciate the differences among each of these challenging situations in order to properly allocate scarce resources to preserve and enhance organizational performance.

Section snippets

Living in a VUCA world

“Across many industries, a rising tide of volatility, uncertainty, and business complexity is roiling markets and changing the nature of competition.” (Doheny, Nagali, & Weig, 2012)

Observations such as this, from a recent issue of the McKinsey Quarterly, have been used to energize leaders as they rise to confront yet another day in unpredictable times—as well as to sell these same leaders consulting services. Employing an acronym for volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity1

Volatility

Reid Spencer is a division manager for a technology company in Cambridge, Massachusetts. The industry is highly competitive and speed is a key competency for both leaders and their organizations. Like others in similar positions, Reid has a lot on his plate and only so much bandwidth. Among today's concerns is the impact a fire at a large computer chip production facility will have on the prices charged by one of his key suppliers. Margins are thin, and upon approaching his boss for advice,

Final thoughts

It isn’t just Reid Spencer who suffers from a daunting agenda. There is broad consensus that these are challenging times for leaders. Globalization has created opportunities with one hand as it has introduced threats with the other. The stubborn global recession has blunted repeated bursts of optimism for the return to a path of prosperity. Layer on the challenge of digesting technological advancements that impact industry, as well as the consequences of demographic shifts in the workforce, and

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