The Inflation They Can’t Hide

Guest Post by Eric Peters

You can’t reduce the size of a 4×8 sheet of plywood to hide the rising cost of one – or shave some length off a 2x4x8 – without it being not only obvious but an issue, functionally. Try siding a house with 4×7.4 sheets of plywood, for instance.

So, instead, the price goes up. Which is really a measure of the value of your money going down.

The same has been happening for some time at supermarkets, less noticeably. Or at least in a way that makes many people not notice it because that pack of bacon they just bought still costs about the same as it cost a year ago.

Only now it’s 12 ounces instead of 16.

Fewer rolls of paper towels – but the price seem unchanged. Such illusions of economic stability are to be found in practically every aisle and on every shelf of the grocery store – the happy spell only broken when you check out your handful of stuff and discover it cost you $100 – or more – for what used to cost you $60 or less.

But the destruction of the value of money – manifested by its ominously decreasing purchasing power – is becoming impossible to not notice when it comes to products that can’t be skimmed, put less of into the same size packages.

A very objective measure of how fast things are slipping – by observing how fast things are rising – is what you could call The 4×8 Plywood Index. About two years ago – in the fall of 2018 – the average national cost of a sheet of 4×8 construction-grade plywood was just $10 or so.

Fast-forward two years and that same sheet of plywood now costs $25 or more (depending on the finish). Some cost $40 per sheet. Have a look for yourself. Or do a fly-by of your local Lowes or Home Depot.

This is a 90-plus percent increase in cost – over about 24 months – a Venezuelan-style uptick – and while it it true that some of the cost uptick is probably due to temporary scarcity/increased demand – there is a building boom under way, the result of resumed construction after months of government-imposed “lockdowns” in the name of “stopping the spread” – it’s not an isolated cost uptick, which indicates it’s not just a temporary cost uptick caused by natural supply-demand fluctuations.

The cost of everything, just about, is going up. Which doesn’t reflect an increase in the value of things but rather a decrease in the value of the thing used to purchase them.

The “federal” reserve note – which isn’t even a note anymore but rather a kind of digital widget they (the central banking cartel) don’t even need to print to inflate. Just keyboard an increase in the “money supply” and – presto! – there you go.

Or rather, there you pay.

Manifoldly.

The money you are paid buys less – which means you’re working more for less – and the money you’ve saved (if you’ve managed to do so) is also worth less.

Just the thing on top of the kneecapping of millions of people’s small businesses by the government which is the frontman for the banking cartel – not “the virus,” which didn’t “lock down” anyone.

Much less “inflate” anything.

America is becoming Venezuela, courtesy of the government and the central banking cartel – but many Americans (probably like many Venezuelans) do not see it happening even as they pay for it as it’s happening. Like seagulls pecking at a piece of tinfoil at the beach, they do see the $1,400 (plus the previous $600) “stimulus” checks they got from the same government that is responsible for causing things to cost a great deal more than what they got.

This is both an epic con as well as epic testimony to the innumeracy of many Americans, especially those who supported the president selected.

Some of them may be unworried about the 90-plus percent increase in the cost of a 4×8 sheet of plywood and the doubling in cost, just about, of a 2x4x8 – which does not affect them directly if they already have a house, for instance – or are not looking to remodel it.

But do they notice they’re paying $6 for a 12 oz. package of bacon that used to cost the same or less for a 16 oz. package? It is possible they don’t as things look more or less the same – provided you don’t look too closely. Provided you don’t think too much about the fact that a pack of bacon is no longer enough for the family’s breakfasting needs. That two packs are now needed to feed the same bunch the same amount.

The one thing they cannot help but notice is the increased cost of a gallon of fuel, now about $2.88 (and rising, inexorably) according to the American Automobile Association (AAA). That amounts to an increase of about 30 percent in the course of about three months.

I wrote a few weeks back about the fact that this rising cost all by itself vitiates the value – the buying power conferred – of the “stimulus” checks, plural. Americans are paying at least an extra $12 or so to fill up the average-sized car’s tank  – which works out to about $40 more per month they no longer have to buy things with, including 4×8 sheets and 2x4s and bacon.

In a year’s time – assuming the cost of gas doesn’t increase even more – or rather, that the value of money doesn’t decrease even more – this one line item will have reduced their buying power by at least $480, not counting the increased cost of things like 4×8 sheets and 2x4s and packs of downsized bacon.

If nothing changes over the next four years, what has already changed will cost them at least $1,920 – almost exactly what they received in “stimulus” from the government fronting the banking cartel.

Stalin’s chicken is clucking, somewhere.

Some of the rising cost of fuel is, of course, due to the fact of the president selected’s “executive actions,” including the cancellation of the Keystone pipeline and a “pause” in the issuance of new leases to extract oil and natural gas on land owned by the federal government. But there is – once again – the ominous fact that prices are rising generally.

Which indicates the value of money is declining, accordingly.

Which is something people ought to be worrying about a lot more than “the virus,” which has only cost them their freedom and peace of mind.

This could cost them whatever they have left.

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16 Comments
very old white guy
very old white guy
April 6, 2021 8:07 am

The increase in cost through a reduction in volume has been going on for decades. Much like everything in the world today nothing is quite as it seems.

Nothing but the truth.
Nothing but the truth.
  very old white guy
April 6, 2021 12:42 pm

Otherwise known as Shrinkflation.

john prokovich
john prokovich
April 6, 2021 8:35 am

End the Fed………….

MrLiberty
MrLiberty
April 6, 2021 9:11 am

Inflation has another disguise……quality.

I never appreciated this issue until some of our major appliances started to fail….after a VERY short time. When we sold my mother-in-law’s home around 2013, what left the house was the same side-by-side refrigerator that my wife’s parents had bought from Montgomery Ward in the late 1970s when she was working there in high school. When my mom’s home was sold a few years later, it too had the side-by-side refrigerator that I remember from high school. Now I know the compressor had to be replaced (I remember that from the early 1980s), but otherwise it was still running and keeping things cold.

Meanwhile, our 10 year old Samsung was going out the door after spending over a year trying to get it fixed properly.

Someone on a neighborhood social media site reached out to find out recommendations regarding a new fridge, and there was NO make or model that anyone truly endorsed. They all said that they were crap, would only last 5-10 years, and to get the fewest features as possible so there would be less to go wrong.

So its not enough that a fridge from the 1970s that cost $500?? Now costs $1200+, but when you get 1/2, 1/3, or even 1/4 the life expectancy out of the product, that sure as hell is another measure of inflation. And when it comes to major appliances, I would say that we might be approaching 20-30% inflation when you throw in quality as another measure.

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  MrLiberty
April 6, 2021 9:26 am

We have had similar experiences with clothes washers. One set lasted over 20 years when we gave it to one daughter (who used it for another 5 or 6 years) and the replacements rarely last more than 4 or 5 years. I do not usually purchase the extended warranty, but always do on a clothes washer and it has been a good decision.

MrLiberty
MrLiberty
  TN Patriot
April 6, 2021 10:27 am

My wife found a washer that has been working perfectly for over 10 years now. Maytag Calypso I think its called. Top load with no center spindle and auto centering capabilities. Huge capacity too. What I find amazing is that these companies have the nerve, and people are gullible enough to buy, dryers that cost $900 or more. First they push the $1000 washer that they claim will spin nearly all the water out of your clothes, then they expect you to buy an overpriced dryer, when a blow dryer and a cardboard box will likely work just as well. Our washer cost a bit, but the dryer is near the bottom end of the range with just the features she needs. Glad I have a wife with pragmatic tastes.

Gloriously Deplorable Paul
Gloriously Deplorable Paul
  TN Patriot
April 6, 2021 4:58 pm

I’ll never buy another washing machine or dryer as long as I can find parts to fix the ones we have. New ones are junk.

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  Gloriously Deplorable Paul
April 6, 2021 6:39 pm

Too many electronics on the new ones. We bought a commercial Maytag set that did quite well. Not much electronic, but functions were basic.

TheAssegai
TheAssegai
  MrLiberty
April 6, 2021 12:36 pm

MrLiberty, consider also what this does to GDP numbers, it makes it all phoney. If all that needed to be manufactured and purchased was one washing machine, but over a period of time you had to buy four, GDP is 3 times what it should be.

BUCKED/BUY MORE AMMO/BOURBON TOO
BUCKED/BUY MORE AMMO/BOURBON TOO
April 6, 2021 9:46 am

A year ago I put together a pick list of lumber to build a deer stand on my farm. It was going to be about 10’x12′ . Yes it was going to be a deer condo . The increase in price from my pick list is over 150% . With 3/4″ OSB going up the greatest amount .

todd
todd
April 6, 2021 10:14 am

not sure where he is finding $25 plywood? i can still put you into a nice piece of 3/16 luan for under $20.

last year May we were selling 1/2 CDX for $16.96 cost was $14.88, today’s asking(no one is buying) price $52, cost is $47.20 wholesale.

Iska Waran
Iska Waran
  todd
April 6, 2021 10:26 am

Once the tar paper is on, no one will know it was 3/16ths. Problem is not falling through during the installation.

MrLiberty
MrLiberty
  todd
April 6, 2021 10:29 am

That is just ridiculous. At first they blamed the plannedemic, but there has to be far more to it. And true, you cannot shrink lumber.

todd
todd
  MrLiberty
April 6, 2021 2:43 pm

this is what happens when all your raw materials and manufacturing are outsourced to a country that probably doesn’t have your best interest at heart.

my boss is shopping all the big box stores today in the city for plastic nail on electrical boxes, circuit breakers, main panels…basic shit. it’s either all sitting in containers off the coast of kalifornia waiting for a stimmy’d homebound dock worker to unload them or sitting on a shelf with no one to pull it and pack it.

TN Patriot
TN Patriot
  MrLiberty
April 6, 2021 6:42 pm

Sure you can. How thick is that piece of 1/2″ plywood or what are the dimensions of that 2 X 4?

todd
todd
  TN Patriot
April 7, 2021 2:29 pm

your 1/2 plywood is 15/32